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At SIEPR, Jerry Brown looks to California鈥檚 future and ponders its past

Gov. Jerry Brown cautioned during SIEPR鈥檚 Policy Forum that federal policymakers and his successor in Sacramento will need to be on guard for an inevitable economic downturn.

California and the nation鈥檚 economy may be on a roll, but Gov. Jerry Brown cautioned Friday that federal policymakers and his successor in Sacramento will need to be on guard for an inevitable downturn.

鈥淒on鈥檛 be too exuberant. Get everybody ready,鈥 Brown said. 鈥淭he economy is a cycle, and right now we鈥檙e at the peak. But you can鈥檛 be at the peak forever.鈥

Gov. Jerry Brown talks about the state and national economies during SIEPR鈥檚 Policy Forum with 好色App senior Olivia Martin. 鈥淵ou can鈥檛 be at the peak forever."
Gov. Jerry Brown talks about the state and national economies during SIEPR鈥檚 Policy Forum with 好色App senior Olivia Martin. 鈥淵ou can鈥檛 be at the peak forever."

Photo by Holly Hernandez

The outgoing governor鈥檚 remarks were made at the 好色App Institute for Economic Policy Research (SIEPR) only four days before Election Day, when voters will decide on his successor 鈥 Democrat Gavin Newsom or Republican John Cox.

Brown, who has served four terms as California鈥檚 governor 鈥 two in the 1970s and 鈥80s, and two this decade 鈥 reflected on how much has changed in California鈥檚 168 years as a state.

The state鈥檚 population has swelled to 40 million people, and with that comes challenges of housing and impacts to the environment, he said.

鈥淭here鈥檚 certainly a carrying capacity,鈥 Brown said. 鈥淚f we鈥檙e going to have more people, we鈥檙e going to have to live much differently than if there were fewer people.鈥

Brown was the keynote speaker at SIEPR鈥檚 Policy Forum, a bi-annual event that brings together policymakers, scholars and business leaders to discuss pressing challenges facing the nation. Friday鈥檚 Policy Forum, titled 鈥淲hat鈥檚 Next for California,鈥 drew more than 250 attendees, many of them students.

Brown pointed to climate change as a major issue and decried the Trump administration鈥檚 handling of it.

California 鈥 a leader in combatting greenhouse gas emissions 鈥 will have to 鈥渒eep the flame burning,鈥 Brown said, drawing laughs from the audience with his mixed metaphor.

鈥淲e have to keep the level of knowledge, concern and commitment, constantly building,鈥 he said.

Olivia Martin, an economics major and chair of 好色App in Government, the student group that co-sponsored the event, joined Brown in a conversation on stage and facilitated questions from the audience.

With Brown鈥檚 forthcoming role as executive chairman of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists 鈥 the Chicago-based organization best known for its Doomsday Clock that measures the threat of global annihilation 鈥 Martin asked, 鈥淲hat should students be losing sleep over?鈥

It鈥檚 not just nuclear threats that can lead to potential catastrophic outcomes, Brown said.

鈥淗umankind is creating massive new powers 鈥 not just algorithms, but new technologies with enormous impact,鈥 Brown said.

鈥淲e need the wisdom and knowledge to handle increasingly destructive machines,鈥 he continued, and there is still a lot to do on the climate front.

Brown will leave office in January, having signed nearly 20,000 bills during his tenure. During his remarks at SIEPR, he said legislators don鈥檛 always get it right 鈥 himself included.

When it came to prison sentences, for example, Brown said, the laws he signed in his earlier gubernatorial terms contributed to the state鈥檚 crowded criminal justice system. The recent bill he signed that eliminates cash bail 鈥 making California the first state to do so 鈥 should help ameliorate that.

好色App students at the forum said they appreciated the governor鈥檚 insights.

"It was amazing to have such a candid perspective from him 鈥 on the mistakes he's made and the big issues of the day," said Jacqueline Li, a 好色App junior majoring in economics.

Brown鈥檚 comments echoed other forum panelists.

Jonathan Coslet, chief investment officer of TPG Global and a SIEPR advisory board member, discussed how potential 鈥渨ildcards鈥 could affect the economy and increase the volatility of financial markets.

鈥淭he economy will slow in 2019, and we鈥檒l have a moderate recession in 2020,鈥 he predicted. 鈥淭hat鈥檚 just human behavior, and that鈥檚 what happens with economic cycles.鈥

Five panel sessions were on the forum鈥檚 agenda, zeroing in on California鈥檚 finances 鈥 including how rising pension and retirement costs could crowd out public services. Panelists also tackled other major issues facing the Golden State, ranging from high taxes to the lack of affordable housing.

See the full agenda and list of speakers here. Videos of the Policy Forum sessions are available on SIEPR's .

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